Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 12.274210 14.097787 16.049434 18.287824 20.778202 23.457908 26.553328
2025-08-03 9.381207 11.760103 14.486654 17.821170 21.766155 26.260922 31.744311
2025-08-10 7.646268 10.262163 13.422584 17.478610 22.498443 28.457597 36.012312
2025-08-17 6.382344 9.093857 12.522805 17.107481 22.999081 30.232868 39.693017
2025-08-24 5.425610 8.165771 11.777201 16.785292 23.436793 31.845057 43.136936
2025-08-31 4.588828 7.280633 10.971042 16.267097 23.519237 32.934385 45.885790
2025-09-07 4.094156 6.807984 10.660148 16.355434 24.361323 34.992706 49.915283
2025-09-14 3.656208 6.361947 10.332638 16.370868 25.069396 36.864940 53.731229
2025-09-21 3.325268 6.037477 10.142730 16.549175 25.985947 39.026100 57.983369
2025-09-28 2.992781 5.670619 9.850536 16.541574 26.613585 40.787190 61.721963
2025-10-05 2.798062 5.506133 9.849305 16.957409 27.859276 43.441618 66.770069
2025-10-12 2.596420 5.306454 9.771256 17.239327 28.904106 45.830336 71.502275
2025-10-19 2.377145 5.056034 9.595416 17.361414 29.720808 47.932914 75.921483
2025-10-26 2.080352 4.630738 9.092028 16.919441 29.637864 48.698874 78.417228
2025-11-02 1.838578 4.278523 8.680056 16.591390 29.701719 49.665503 81.213754
2025-11-09 1.621170 3.946209 8.272040 16.235931 29.691369 50.501787 83.821055
2025-11-16 1.435500 3.653965 7.908942 15.927390 29.730573 51.399382 86.528312
2025-11-23 1.247325 3.331041 7.458922 15.431242 29.425062 51.734751 88.369936
2025-11-30 1.148446 3.189538 7.340207 15.515812 30.090410 53.610820 92.625609
2025-12-07 1.051219 3.039044 7.190293 15.530588 30.630641 55.295817 96.619666
2025-12-14 0.978872 2.937174 7.128016 15.701305 31.442257 57.436227 101.377753
2025-12-21 0.895815 2.798304 6.977913 15.694027 31.935866 59.066052 105.359720
2025-12-28 0.856029 2.762055 7.038127 16.092211 33.161733 61.931745 111.383882